역 시스템 (업 배팅) 시뮬결과

-타이레놀-

안녕하세요.
역 시스템(업 배팅) 시뮬 결과를 올려 드릴게요.


결과부터 말씀드리면, 시스템 방식과 마찬가지로 썩 좋지 못합니다.


먼저 유저가 룰렛 소에 걸었을때 승률입니다(45% 승률)


('win = %s, lose = %s', 166060, 183940)
('sys_', 2, 'win unit = ', -30556, ', win_count = ', 166060, ', lose_count = ', 28088)
('sys_', 3, 'win unit = ', -38303, ', win_count = ', 166060, ', lose_count = ', 13624)
('sys_', 4, 'win unit = ', -48647, ', win_count = ', 166060, ', lose_count = ', 6926)
('sys_', 5, 'win unit = ', -58535, ', win_count = ', 166060, ', lose_count = ', 3565)
('sys_', 6, 'win unit = ', -75684, ', win_count = ', 166060, ', lose_count = ', 1903)
('sys_', 7, 'win unit = ', -85433, ', win_count = ', 166060, ', lose_count = ', 986)
('sys_', 8, 'win unit = ', -109432, ', win_count = ', 166060, ', lose_count = ', 539)
('sys_', 9, 'win unit = ', -132719, ', win_count = ', 166060, ', lose_count = ', 292)
('sys_', 10, 'win unit = ', -124677, ', win_count = ', 166060, ', lose_count = ', 142)
('sys_', 11, 'win unit = ', -145223, ', win_count = ', 166060, ', lose_count = ', 76)
('sys_', 12, 'win unit = ', -161643, ', win_count = ', 166060, ', lose_count = ', 40)
('sys_', 13, 'win unit = ', -243578, ', win_count = ', 166060, ', lose_count = ', 25)
('sys_', 14, 'win unit = ', -456576, ', win_count = ', 166060, ', lose_count = ', 19)
('sys_', 15, 'win unit = ', -489353, ', win_count = ', 166060, ', lose_count = ', 10)
('reverse_sys_', 2, 'all money = ', -34600, ', win_count = ', 37335, ', lose_count = ', 183940)
('reverse_sys_', 3, 'all money = ', -42852, ', win_count = ', 17636, ', lose_count = ', 183940)
('reverse_sys_', 4, 'all money = ', -50180, ', win_count = ', 8360, ', lose_count = ', 183940)
('reverse_sys_', 5, 'all money = ', -56292, ', win_count = ', 3989, ', lose_count = ', 183940)
('reverse_sys_', 6, 'all money = ', -61316, ', win_count = ', 1916, ', lose_count = ', 183940)
('reverse_sys_', 7, 'all money = ', -66564, ', win_count = ', 917, ', lose_count = ', 183940)
('reverse_sys_', 8, 'all money = ', -71300, ', win_count = ', 440, ', lose_count = ', 183940)
('reverse_sys_', 9, 'all money = ', -80004, ', win_count = ', 203, ', lose_count = ', 183940)






{0: 9126, 1: 9128, 2: 9191, 3: 9301, 4: 9232, 5: 9231, 6: 9264, 7: 9194, 8: 9313, 9: 9159, 10: 9236, 11: 9180, 12: 9139, 13: 9426, 14: 9163, 15: 9201, 16: 9177, 17: 9316, 18: 9209, 19: 9360, 20: 9220, 21: 9194, 22: 9001, 23: 9323, 24: 9255, 25: 9248, 26: 9280, 27: 9267, 28: 9182, 29: 9247, 30: 9167, 31: 9242, 32: 9247, 33: 9023, 34: 8984, 35: 9158, 36: 9114, 37: 9302}
('all_count', 350000)


역 시스템 방식은 이겼을때 1, 2, 4, 8, 16.. 등으로 업어치는 방식입니다.
지면 깔끔하게 1부터 시작합니다.
단지 설정한 시스템 방식에 따라서, reverse_sys_2이면 2연승 이후는 계속 2 유닛 배팅
reverse_sys_3이면 3연승 이후는 계속 4 유닛 배팅입니다.


다음은 50% 승률입니다.


('new day ', 1)
('win = %s, lose = %s', 174947, 175053)
('sys_', 2, 'win unit = ', 485, ', win_count = ', 174947, ', lose_count = ', 24923)
('sys_', 3, 'win unit = ', 1171, ', win_count = ', 174947, ', lose_count = ', 11585)
('sys_', 4, 'win unit = ', 1098, ', win_count = ', 174947, ', lose_count = ', 5608)
('sys_', 5, 'win unit = ', 58, ', win_count = ', 174947, ', lose_count = ', 2776)
('sys_', 6, 'win unit = ', 1591, ', win_count = ', 174947, ', lose_count = ', 1365)
('sys_', 7, 'win unit = ', -2279, ', win_count = ', 174947, ', lose_count = ', 695)
('sys_', 8, 'win unit = ', -11569, ', win_count = ', 174947, ', lose_count = ', 365)
('sys_', 9, 'win unit = ', -8171, ', win_count = ', 174947, ', lose_count = ', 179)
('sys_', 10, 'win unit = ', -1096, ', win_count = ', 174947, ', lose_count = ', 86)
('sys_', 11, 'win unit = ', -5234, ', win_count = ', 174947, ', lose_count = ', 44)
('sys_', 12, 'win unit = ', -5256, ', win_count = ', 174947, ', lose_count = ', 22)
('sys_', 13, 'win unit = ', -21650, ', win_count = ', 174947, ', lose_count = ', 12)
('sys_', 14, 'win unit = ', -21656, ', win_count = ', 174947, ', lose_count = ', 6)
('sys_', 15, 'win unit = ', 43876, ', win_count = ', 174947, ', lose_count = ', 2)
('reverse_sys_', 2, 'all money = ', -949, ', win_count = ', 43526, ', lose_count = ', 175053)
('reverse_sys_', 3, 'all money = ', -1149, ', win_count = ', 21738, ', lose_count = ', 175053)
('reverse_sys_', 4, 'all money = ', -1277, ', win_count = ', 10861, ', lose_count = ', 175053)
('reverse_sys_', 5, 'all money = ', -749, ', win_count = ', 5447, ', lose_count = ', 175053)
('reverse_sys_', 6, 'all money = ', -1741, ', win_count = ', 2708, ', lose_count = ', 175053)
('reverse_sys_', 7, 'all money = ', -4685, ', win_count = ', 1331, ', lose_count = ', 175053)
('reverse_sys_', 8, 'all money = ', -5581, ', win_count = ', 662, ', lose_count = ', 175053)
('reverse_sys_', 9, 'all money = ', -5581, ', win_count = ', 331, ', lose_count = ', 175053)






{0: 9234, 1: 9113, 2: 9233, 3: 9080, 4: 9082, 5: 9238, 6: 9247, 7: 9348, 8: 9337, 9: 9151, 10: 9215, 11: 9145, 12: 9043, 13: 9307, 14: 9219, 15: 9176, 16: 9311, 17: 9179, 18: 9289, 19: 9087, 20: 9274, 21: 9090, 22: 9132, 23: 9270, 24: 9392, 25: 9295, 26: 9079, 27: 9352, 28: 9248, 29: 9209, 30: 9182, 31: 9198, 32: 9181, 33: 9163, 34: 9218, 35: 9228, 36: 9162, 37: 9293}
('all_count', 350000)


50 프로 확률에서는 이길때도 있고, 질때도 있습니다. 아무래도 이기는 구간이 연속으로 많이 나오냐 그렇지 않느냐가 승패를 가르겠네요.


마지막으로 카지노 커미션을 유저에게 대입했을때의 결과입니다.
(승률 55%)


('new day ', 1)
('win = %s, lose = %s', 184215, 165785)
('sys_', 2, 'win unit = ', 30782, ', win_count = ', 184215, ', lose_count = ', 21919)
('sys_', 3, 'win unit = ', 37950, ', win_count = ', 184215, ', lose_count = ', 9751)
('sys_', 4, 'win unit = ', 43010, ', win_count = ', 184215, ', lose_count = ', 4555)
('sys_', 5, 'win unit = ', 49269, ', win_count = ', 184215, ', lose_count = ', 2142)
('sys_', 6, 'win unit = ', 59628, ', win_count = ', 184215, ', lose_count = ', 981)
('sys_', 7, 'win unit = ', 69210, ', win_count = ', 184215, ', lose_count = ', 451)
('sys_', 8, 'win unit = ', 67707, ', win_count = ', 184215, ', lose_count = ', 228)
('sys_', 9, 'win unit = ', 68616, ', win_count = ', 184215, ', lose_count = ', 113)
('sys_', 10, 'win unit = ', 55254, ', win_count = ', 184215, ', lose_count = ', 63)
('sys_', 11, 'win unit = ', 40890, ', win_count = ', 184215, ', lose_count = ', 35)
('sys_', 12, 'win unit = ', 4013, ', win_count = ', 184215, ', lose_count = ', 22)
('sys_', 13, 'win unit = ', 4002, ', win_count = ', 184215, ', lose_count = ', 11)
('sys_', 14, 'win unit = ', 20380, ', win_count = ', 184215, ', lose_count = ', 5)
('sys_', 15, 'win unit = ', 53145, ', win_count = ', 184215, ', lose_count = ', 2)
('reverse_sys_', 2, 'all money = ', 38482, ', win_count = ', 51066, ', lose_count = ', 165785)
('reverse_sys_', 3, 'all money = ', 48382, ', win_count = ', 26770, ', lose_count = ', 165785)
('reverse_sys_', 4, 'all money = ', 58598, ', win_count = ', 14023, ', lose_count = ', 165785)
('reverse_sys_', 5, 'all money = ', 70198, ', win_count = ', 7374, ', lose_count = ', 165785)
('reverse_sys_', 6, 'all money = ', 83126, ', win_count = ', 3889, ', lose_count = ', 165785)
('reverse_sys_', 7, 'all money = ', 92278, ', win_count = ', 2016, ', lose_count = ', 165785)
('reverse_sys_', 8, 'all money = ', 98166, ', win_count = ', 1031, ', lose_count = ', 165785)
('reverse_sys_', 9, 'all money = ', 105078, ', win_count = ', 529, ', lose_count = ', 165785)






{0: 9346, 1: 9199, 2: 9286, 3: 9204, 4: 9241, 5: 9191, 6: 9184, 7: 9122, 8: 9213, 9: 9236, 10: 9278, 11: 9163, 12: 9301, 13: 9135, 14: 9063, 15: 9109, 16: 9256, 17: 9313, 18: 9300, 19: 9075, 20: 9236, 21: 9147, 22: 9113, 23: 9271, 24: 9179, 25: 9125, 26: 9157, 27: 9175, 28: 9322, 29: 9180, 30: 9165, 31: 9299, 32: 9085, 33: 9317, 34: 9290, 35: 9262, 36: 9189, 37: 9273}
('all_count', 350000)


승률 55% 상태에서는 몇번을 돌려도 무조건 승이네요.
카지노가 이기는 이유가 바로 이겁니다. ㅠ.ㅠ


시뮬레이션 결과는 재미로 봐주세요.
그리고 혹시나 초보분들 중에 시스템 또는 역 시스템으로 재미 보려는 분들은 한번 더 생각하시기 바랍니다.